Las probabilidades de pasarse cuando se pide carta dependen de las que se tengan en mano y las que muestre la banca, de hecho es fundamental conocer de antemano qué son las cartas débiles y las fuertes. Sabiendo cuáles son, ya se tiene una idea preliminar bastante efectiva. De este modo, contar con una mano por valor de 21 tiene un 100% de pasarse en caso de pedir otra carta; si es de 20, el porcentaje pasa al 92%; si es 19, 85% y, así, hasta llegar al valor 12, con un 31% de probabilidades, y 11 o menos que tiene un 0%. El conteo de cartas en realidad debería llamarse ‘Conteo Blackjack’ porque nadie cuenta cartas en el cinquillo… bueno, hay gente para todo. Contar cartas es una técnica que algunos jugadores de blackjack aprenden para calcular en qué momentos tienen más probabilidades de ganar y así subir sus apuestas. Se trata de algo que no está prohibido ni es ilegal, porque nadie puede decidir qué haces con tu privilegiada cabeza… está mal visto. Se calcula que un jugador que cuenta cartas puede conseguir un margen de ventaja sobre el casino de entre el 0.5% y el 1%. Como ves, tampoco es que si aprendes a contar cartas vayas a reventar las bancas.
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